Why Xi just banned boozy lunches

Ain’t no party like a Communist Party. Or at least, that was the case until Monday?

According to 20 new austerity guidelines just dropped (🇨🇳) by China’s State Council (cabinet), “waste is shameful and economy is glorious”. So China’s officials will again now have to cut down on several budget items, including all those:

• Fancy meals

• Lavish flower arrangements

• Fabulous send-off ceremonies, and

• Training programs that look a teeeeensy bit like group tours. 

This isn’t exactly news for party members. Beijing issued the first such guidelines in 2013 shortly after Xi Jinping rose to power. But this is the first solid update in years. 

So, why is Xi cracking down again now? 

His stated reasons mention declining land sale revenues and mounting local government debt, though it’s hard to see how cutting down on a few Zhonghua cigarettes and peony arrangements might dent the estimated $7-10 trillion in local government obligations.

So here are three other reasons:

1. A stormy economic outlook

China’s president has taken a defiant yet sober tone, warning of “difficulties and obstacles” ahead, and flagging China will have to “adjust and optimise its economic structure” to face a changing world. 

That’s partly because, even with US tariffs slashed back to (a still hefty) 30%, he’s grappling with headwinds across deflation, demographics, and a property collapse.

And while trimming a bit of official excess won’t make a meaningful economic difference to the real estate bubble exhaling an estimated $18 trillion, it does send a political signal that Xi’s sober message is for everyone. Otherwise, there’s the risk of discontent bubbling up through the gaps and eroding the party’s legitimacy, which leads us to… 

2. Xi’s anti-corruption drive 

Xi first launched his austerity guidelines back in 2013, and that timing is significant for reasons beyond the fact he’d just taken power:

• Eg, it was shortly after Bloomberg and The New York Times published spicy exposés about the extended family wealth surrounding Xi and other top cadres.

So he had political incentives to push back not only on that personal image problem, but also on the party’s broader image problem given the scale of some of the graft emerging (like the railway minister who amassed 19 mistresses and 374 houses).

But now that authorities have jailed more than a million officials on corruption grounds, there’s growing suspicion many are getting swept up in a broader political purge, which leads us to...

3. Party discipline 

Related to the first two reasons, but this renewed austerity drive is probably also another attempt to impose discipline across the party’s 100 million members — a la New York’s broken window theory, focus on the little things (whether a broken window or a four-hour power-lunch), and folks might think twice about pulling any bigger stunts.

It becomes an exercise in authority for the party’s top honchos, without having to do much heavy lifting.