Where is the Russo-Ukraine war headed?


Ukraine has claimed some hits on Russian occupying forces lately, including:

  • Destroying an advanced air defence system in Crimea yesterday (Thursday), using drones to blind it then cruise missiles to destroy it
  • Seriously damaging a landing ship and submarine that were undergoing repairs at a dock in Crimea on Wednesday
  • Recapturing strategic oil and gas platforms in the Black Sea last weekend (they were reportedly housing radar equipment), and
  • Retaking various villages along the southern and eastern fronts over the past month, breaking through some initial Russian defences.

Meanwhile, Russia has reportedly:

Intrigue’s take: Two quotes come to mind here.

First, WWII General Omar Bradley’s old line that “amateurs talk strategy and professionals talk logistics”: in a war of attrition, supply lines are key. Hence the increased targeting of landing ships, port facilities, bridges, etc.

And second, “gradually, then suddenly”: this was a Hemmingway line on bankruptcy, but it fits war, too. Sure, we could be looking at similar front-lines in five years. But defences can collapse. And that happens quickly.

Also worth noting:

  • Ukraine says Russia is preparing for another mobilisation drive later this year. Russian officials have said there are no such plans.
Latest Author Articles
Five things we found out at this year’s BRICS summit

The yearly BRICS summit wrapped up in Russia yesterday (Thursday), ninja-starring dozens of new announcements out into the world before dropping a 32-page Joint Declaration that probably could’ve just been an email. But first, some context. Starting out as a Goldman Sachs acronym for emerging markets with promise back in 2001, the four originals (Brazil, Russia, India, […]

25 October, 2024
North Korea enters the Russo-Ukraine war

What are friends for, if not to help in times of need? We imagine that’s roughly what Vladimir Putin said when he asked Kim Jong Un for a few thousand North Korean soldiers to help his three-day invasion of Ukraine, which is now heading into its third year.  Anyway, North Korea’s supreme leader seems to […]

22 October, 2024
Big tech goes nuclear 

Google has announced it’s inked a deal with Kairos Power to buy small modular reactors (SMRs) to help power the tech giant’s investments in data centres and AI. Google says it chose SMRs due to, well, their small size and modular nature, which in turn can “reduce construction timelines, allow deployment in more places, and make the […]

17 October, 2024
Why did China just rehearse a Taiwan invasion again?

Folks in Taiwan exhaled overnight as China withdrew its forces after encircling the democratic and self-ruled island with mass military exercises. Here’s what happened. Early yesterday morning (Monday), Beijing launched a set of joint military drills involving troops from its army, navy, air force, and rocket force (yes, that’s a real thing). They were simulating an assault on […]

15 October, 2024